Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.015851 0.017678 0.019517 0.021504 0.023583 0.025690 0.027981
2025-04-13 0.011541 0.014300 0.017210 0.020478 0.024019 0.027717 0.031848
2025-04-20 0.009780 0.013088 0.016691 0.020840 0.025432 0.030310 0.035840
2025-04-27 0.008164 0.011807 0.015899 0.020723 0.026160 0.032020 0.038743
2025-05-04 0.006717 0.010549 0.014992 0.020350 0.026491 0.033196 0.040969
2025-05-11 0.005776 0.009789 0.014578 0.020461 0.027299 0.034840 0.043653
2025-05-18 0.004900 0.009016 0.014076 0.020411 0.027870 0.036176 0.045953
2025-05-25 0.004024 0.008152 0.013397 0.020094 0.028087 0.037072 0.047725
2025-06-01 0.003386 0.007537 0.012977 0.020049 0.028587 0.038262 0.049801
2025-06-08 0.002748 0.006847 0.012414 0.019790 0.028803 0.039100 0.051455
2025-06-15 0.002294 0.006372 0.012096 0.019805 0.029323 0.040270 0.053468
2025-06-22 0.001794 0.005754 0.011543 0.019495 0.029427 0.040937 0.054890
2025-06-29 0.001331 0.005145 0.011003 0.019227 0.029630 0.041782 0.056596
2025-07-06 0.000771 0.004207 0.009934 0.018240 0.028938 0.041576 0.057100
2025-07-13 0.000594 0.003987 0.009888 0.018584 0.029877 0.043285 0.059812
2025-07-20 0.000375 0.003577 0.009520 0.018473 0.030231 0.044283 0.061683
2025-07-27 0.000182 0.003097 0.008997 0.018120 0.030259 0.044875 0.063065
2025-08-03 0.000092 0.002844 0.008815 0.018225 0.030857 0.046146 0.065235
2025-08-10 0.000026 0.002551 0.008538 0.018178 0.031248 0.047155 0.067090
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002189 0.008099 0.017878 0.031297 0.047738 0.068429
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001946 0.007849 0.017836 0.031670 0.048708 0.070221
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001658 0.007474 0.017591 0.031765 0.049327 0.071587
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001473 0.007281 0.017605 0.032194 0.050352 0.073432